Boris Johnson has made his gambit positioning himself for a General Election by morphing in Nigel Farage mk II in an attempt to persuade Farage’s supporters to vote for him instead. He is re-positioning the Tories as a right to far right party. This strategy is a gamble because firstly it could alienate many in his own Party and he also counting on there being the same 3.6% majority in favour of the Leave Campaign without a swing in favour of Remain. He is hoping to take a large slice of the Brexit Party’s support away from Farage. This move is more about appeasing the far right in his own party than doing what is right and best for the country as a whole. This is reckless and reactionary politics playing into the hands of the far right in Britain. It is irresponsible politics.
Maths has never been a strength of Bodge-it and chances are he has miscalculated
It appears that Bodge-it has oversimplified the mathematics yet again to draw the conclusion that he will win a General Election. It appears that he has calculated that whoever commands the 3.6% in favour of Leave will win. What he has failed to grasp that this majority albeit very slender was composed of cross party loyalties which when it comes to a General Election may not be so easily predicted as many ‘Remainers’ wouldn’t consider voting Tory just to get Brexit completed. It is just not that simplistic. The recent success of the Brexit Party may not be be repeatable under General Election conditions because for many the appeal of that Party lay simply in a protest vote. Also looking at the composition of the overall vote in the recent EU elections showed that overall support for Brexit had actually decreased but this vote was split over a few Parties. Again this situation may not be replicated in a General Election. Many Labour supporters who wanted to Remain in the EU were protesting against the Labour Party’s vague position at that time. This has forced Labour in particular to modify and clarify it’s position. Again we are likely to see a drift back towards Labour in a General Election. Finally the SNP’s inability to do anything to halt Brexit may have the biggest effect on a General Election. This situation may come as a realisation for Scottish voters who may be attracted to a less regional Party that could have influence over what happens regarding Brexit. Scottish voters may well understand the need to vote for a UK wide party that could actually prevent both Scotland’s and the Uk’s departure rather than vote with possible devolution on their minds as the highest priority.
Finally many have come to realise that what they were sold in the referendum was not a true picture. As a result many will have changed their minds fearful of the real implications of leaving the EU. Fearful for their jobs and their livelihoods it would be inconceivable that there hasn’t now been a considerable swing in favour of remain.
Bodge-it is a politician of ideals with little true grasp of the issue. His attention to detail is scant and his grasp of the mathematics involved is questionable. I believe that he is over confident placing far too much faith in his own abilities and could be underestimating the strength of feeling against him. He is after all an unelected Prime Minister. The same thing that happened to Theresa May could also happen to him.